Wednesday, September 30, 2009

Why is Israel Now Quiet Over Iran Sanctions?

This week Israel has dialed down it's rhetoric against Iran and its nuclear program. This is a surprising moving considereing that Israel last week called for crippling sanctions against Iran by the International community. Israel is probably doing this because it is taking a back seat to the talks that will happen between Iran, the UN Security Council, and Germany. What Israel does from here will be basically determined by what Russia and China does. Based upon what these two countries do Israel only has two options open to it. The first is miitary action and the second is to continue is preventative approach. If China or Russia vetos the sonctions against Iran, Israel could make a premetive strike against Iran's nuclear faclitites. There is a good chance that this could happen for a couple of reasons. The first reason is that with one of thew biggest air forces in the world, Isreal has the potential to pull it off. The second reason is that Israel has set a precedence for doing this in the past, when they bombed a facility in Iraq in 1981. The third reason is that Israel will do anything to make sure that Iran doesn't have nuclear weapons. Even though the military option is quite possible, it is not the most likly approach that Israel will take just quite yet. Israel will most likely continue with is policy of a preventatve approach, where it applies to its allies to help it stop Iran. This is more likly to happen because it shows that Israel is willing to talk the problem out, but it also allows them to keep the offesive option on the table without getting scrutinizied by the international community for attacking another country. Israel's stance has changed on Iran for now, but it will soon change again once the mmeting with Iran is over. However, if this change will be for the better is yet to be seen.

By: William Miller
Source: The Christian Science Monitor

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