Sunday, January 11, 2009

Growing Tensions

As of last year Russia has started to present itself differently to the international community. A growing wave of conflict that many suggest to be a byproduct of oil and gas wealth, hints that Russian leaders are confident enough to risk international isolation. Russia's current economic situation which had lead to the decadence of the ruble is considered among the strongest reasons for rising conflicts with Georgia and more recently Ukraine. Which lead many to think if this situations implies future Russian conflict with the United States. There are many factors to be considered; first the Russian conflict with Ukraine which is dragging several countries of Europe with it, second the new American government lead by Barack Obama and it's policy makers and last, the rising Global Financial crash. Many political scientist offer two scenarios for Russia in this situation, a state of cooperation versus a state of retrenchment and Nationalism. The cooperation will imply the economic weakness of the World states therefore the necessity for international cooperation. The other choice implies regional separatism, attacks toward external enemies (especially the United States which has expressed a possible entrance in Ukraine) and finally a period of isolation. Though is early to decide what will happen many have seen the August intervention of Russia in Georgia as a new step toward the second scenario.

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