Tom Pancione 10-27-19
The German state of Thuringia held elections today October 27th 2019. In those election the political party The Left which is essentially made up of the remnants of Germany's Communist Party. One the most seats in the state. They were in a coalition with the SPD (Social Democratic Party of Germany, a center left party) and the Greens. Now that coalition seems to have fallen just short of a majority in their parliament. The CDU Angela Merkel's party (Center-right) had its worst electoral results ever losing 11% of the vote it got last time, much if not all of it going to the AFD(Alternative for Germany Right-wing/Nationalist/Far-right depending on who you ask). The AFD which has made a name for itself with being very anti-immigration, has risen to become the #2 party in the state. Now getting a coalition in that state will be almost impossible. There is talk that the The Left, the SPD, The Greens and the FDP(a small pro-business center right party) form a majority coalition together. However this is highly unlikely for a number of reasons. One the FDP and The Left have radically different policies and ideologies, it is highly unlikely that they would support a minority government or be in the government unless The Left made significant changes, which I doubt. Also the FDP barely passed the 5% threshold needed to get into parliament, they got in by reportedly only 5 votes. If for some reasons a recount is requested or mail in ballots come in (I don't know how it works) they could easily fall below that threshold. So if they somehow fail under that 5% then that coalition would no longer even be possible. Then there is the CDU, the CDU if they formed a coalition with the AFD and the FDP they would have enough for a majority. However the CDU likens the AFD to Nazis and have refused to work with them in all state legislatures, but the CDU also said they would not prop up a government run by The Left either, as the CDU has radically different policies than The Left. Now if the FDP fails to meet the electoral threshold, this may change the seat calculations and I honestly don't know how it would because again I am not an expert on German election law. However as it currently stands it is unlikely that there would be a majority for any governing coalition. Now the only other options I can think of would be that either the CDU and the FDP form a government and the AFD just agree to confidence and supply in exchange for nothing (highly unlikely) or vise versa. If this happens it could mean another German state election. No matter what it is likely to be a complicated mess
https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-left-party-tops-thuringia-election-far-right-afd-surges-to-second/a-51010071
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